![]() That’s the most dropbacks for a quarterback in a single game in TruMedia’s database, which goes back to 2000.īoth quarterbacks are off to MVP-caliber starts this season. Josh Allen dropped back to pass 71 times in last week’s loss to the Dolphins. The only exceptions are the Ravens (he’s accounted for all of their offensive touchdowns) and the Lions, who also have 12. Lamar Jackson has accounted for more offensive touchdowns on his own (12) than 30 of 32 NFL teams. The pick: Bears (+3.5) Buffalo Bills at Baltimore Ravens (+3) We know the Bears are going to run the ball, and their defense should keep them in the game. That ranks dead last (even the Bears have five!).īoth of these offenses stink. The Giants have four total completions of 20-plus yards through three games. The Bears’ 23 pass completions through the first three weeks are the fewest by any team in the last 15 years. The pick: Titans (+3) Chicago Bears at New York Giants (-3.5) I pretty much always give Mike Vrabel the benefit of the doubt when he’s an underdog, and I’m sticking to that here. They’re a flawed team, but they’re going to be competent and feisty most weeks. The Titans, meanwhile, went up and down the field against the Raiders, scoring on four of their first five possessions. Nothing I saw last week suggested that this is a team close to figuring things out. Their offense is 32nd in expected points added (EPA) per drive. Let’s be honest: Indy has flat-out looked like one of the worst teams in the NFL. If the Colts can just force their opponents to make all of those mistakes every week, they might finish the season 15-1-1. Chris Jones getting called for an unsportsmanlike conduct penalty that turned fourth-and-14 into a first down on the Colts’ game-winning drive.Here’s everything that needed to happen to squeak out a 20-17 win: ![]() The Colts found a winning formula last week against the Chiefs. The pick: Saints (+2.5) Tennessee Titans at Indianapolis Colts (-3) And when that’s the case, I take the points. My only expectation for this game is chaos. Winston is dealing with back and ankle injuries but is expected to start. The Saints, meanwhile, managed to lose to the Panthers last week, despite allowing just 12 first downs and 148 passing yards. But it feels like their defense is making life a little too easy on opposing quarterbacks, who are completing 69.4 percent of their passes against Minnesota. The Vikings overcame a 10-point fourth-quarter deficit to rally for a win against the Lions last week. Kirk Cousins versus Jameis Winston, London at 9:30 a.m. ![]() The pick: Dolphins (+3.5) Minnesota Vikings at New Orleans Saints (+2.5) This could easily be a schedule loss for Miami, but given the Dolphins’ ability to produce explosive plays and pressure opposing quarterbacks, I like them to keep it close. ![]() He’s questionable, along with left tackle Terron Armstead, wide receiver Jaylen Waddle, and cornerback Xavien Howard. That’s a really tough spot to be in.Īs of this writing, it’s unclear whether the Dolphins will have quarterback Tua Tagovailoa for this game. The Dolphins defense was on the field for 90 snaps last week and now has to face Joe Burrow and Ja’Marr Chase on the road on short rest. Miami Dolphins at Cincinnati Bengals (-3.5) Stats are from TruMedia/Pro Football Focus unless otherwise noted. We’ve got another full slate of games on the schedule, including our first London matchup. ![]()
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